Key takeaways:
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XRP rally is in a good position to rally toward $3.98–$4.32 this month following an RSI golden cross.
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Profit-taking remains muted, suggesting stronger holder conviction ahead of October’s ETF decisions.
XRP (XRP) is back above the psychological $3 mark, reigniting speculation that it could be gearing up for another big move. A recurring technical signal on its multiday chart is strengthening that bullish case.
RSI golden cross signals 30%-40% XRP rise next
XRP’s 3-day relative strength index (RSI) has just flashed a golden cross, with the indicator closing above its 14-period moving average. This suggests that momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls.
For instance, XRP’s price rose by over 75% a month after the RSI golden cross in June. Similarly, it jumped by more than 28% last April and an eye-popping 575% in November last year after similar crossover prints.
The latest crossover comes as XRP retests support at its 50-period exponential moving average (EMA), a level that has consistently aligned with previous RSI golden cross rallies.
The confluence of the $3 breakout, 50-period EMA support, and RSI crossover raises XRP’s odds of rising toward the 1.0 Fibonacci retracement level at $3.39 in October, up 11% from the current levels.
The XRP/USD pair may rise further toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, located near $4.32, representing about a 40% increase, by October or November if it decisively closes above $3.39.
Related: XRP price: Why October will be the most bullish month of 2025
Another bullish setup, a descending triangle breakout, points to a $3.98 target — up 30% from current prices — as XRP climbs above the pattern’s upper trendline, further reinforcing the RSI golden cross signal.
XRP profit-taking becomes less severe
XRP’s latest rally above $3 has not triggered the kind of extreme profit-taking that has marked its past bull market tops, onchain data shows.
The percent supply in profit — the share of circulating XRP trading above its cost basis — has remained elevated and relatively stable since the November 2024 breakout, according to Glassnode data.
In earlier cycles, spikes toward 90% to100% profit levels often coincided with rapid sell-offs and sharp drawdowns. This time, however, XRP holders appear to be exercising more patience.
The steadiness suggests that long-term investors are less eager to cash out in the near term, indicating stronger conviction in the ongoing trend, particularly ahead of multiple XRP ETF decisions in October.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
